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Economic Research
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Economic Research
Economic Updates
On the Interpretation of % Changes, January 15, 2010Reporting on a current indicator in terms of % change from prior year (12 months ago, 4 quarters, or whatever the frequency) is generally a bad idea, often deeply misleading. FOMC December 16th Policy Statement: Read all about it!December 21, 2009 The statement is fairly optimistic, particularly in relation to the labor market Inflation, deflation, double-dip? November 25, 2009The only agreement among the talking heads of the financial media is that the outlook is deeply uncertain. There's talk of inflation, but also of double-dip recession and deflation. So what should we be worrying about the most? Economic Outlooks
Global Economic Outlook, Summer 2010
Economic growth has been stronger over the past quarter, but the good news is being overshadowed by the credit crisis in Europe. U.S. Economic Outlook, Summer 2010Growth continues…but another patch of uncertainty implies a more cloudy forecast. |
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